Oil prices surged and stock markets in Asia and Europe fell on Monday, as the impact of the American killing of a powerful Iranian general on Friday ricocheted around the world.
The price of Brent oil, the international benchmark, jumped above $70 in futures trading as markets digested a steady flow of news over the weekend. It fell back below that level, to $69.92 a barrel, when markets opened in Europe, though the price was still about 5 percent higher than before the killing last week.
Investors showed nervousness as Iran pledged to retaliate for the killing of Qassim Suleimani, the Iranian general. President Trump raised the specter of additional strikes on Iranian cultural sites if it did so.
The State Department warned of a “heightened risk” of a missile attack near American military bases. Iran later said it would abandon a nuclear agreement and Iraq vowed to expel American troops from the country.
The sudden escalation in tensions in a region that supplies much of the world’s petroleum has roiled oil markets. The West Texas Intermediate, the American oil benchmark, rose 1.6 percent to $64.04 a barrel in futures trading.
Analysts at Capital Economics have warned that the price of oil could spike to $150 a barrel if the bellicose rhetoric between the two countries turned into action.
“The price of oil would soar in the event of full-blown military conflict in the Middle East,” said Alexander Kozul-Wright, a commodities economist at Capital Economics.
“However,” he added, “this rally would probably be short-lived as supply networks would adjust and demand would slump in the wake of higher prices.”
Stocks fell in financial capitals across Asia. In Tokyo, shares fell by 2 percent, while major stock markets in Hong Kong, Taipei and Seoul inched down about 1 percent or more.
In Europe, markets looked poised for another day of turbulence. In early trading, Frankfurt, London, Paris and Amsterdam all dropped by more than 1 percent.
Wall Street was bracing for a similarly tough day, according to trading in the futures market.
The price of gold, considered a safe haven investment, reached its highest level since April 2013. The spot price of bullion hit $1,588.13 an ounce, up more than 2 percent, in early trading before coming down slightly.